Subseasonal Weather Outlook and Review

Subseasonal Weather Outlook (28 November – 11 December 2022)

Issued: 25 November 2022
First forecast week: 28 November – 4 December
Second forecast week: 5 December – 11 December

Figure 1: Rainfall Outlook

Figure 2: Temperature Outlook

 

Wetter conditions are predicted over much of eastern and southern Mainland Southeast Asia, and the Philippines in the next fortnight (28 November – 11 December). Wetter conditions are also predicted over the southeastern Maritime Continent in Week 1 (28 November – 4 December).

For temperature, warmer than usual temperature is expected over much of Myanmar in the next fortnight (28 November – 11 December).

During the third week of November, a Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal propagated to the Western Pacific (Phase 6). Most models forecast the MJO signal to continue propagating eastwards over the Western Pacific (Phase 7) and to dissipate during Week 1.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.

Subseasonal Weather Outlook (28 November – 11 December 2022)

Issued: 25 November 2022
First forecast week: 28 November – 4 December
Second forecast week: 5 December – 11 December

Figure 1: Rainfall Outlook

Figure 2: Temperature Outlook

 

Wetter conditions are predicted over much of eastern and southern Mainland Southeast Asia, and the Philippines in the next fortnight (28 November – 11 December). Wetter conditions are also predicted over the southeastern Maritime Continent in Week 1 (28 November – 4 December).

For temperature, warmer than usual temperature is expected over much of Myanmar in the next fortnight (28 November – 11 December).

During the third week of November, a Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal propagated to the Western Pacific (Phase 6). Most models forecast the MJO signal to continue propagating eastwards over the Western Pacific (Phase 7) and to dissipate during Week 1.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.