Subseasonal Weather Outlook (24 November – 7 December)

Issued: 19 November 2025
First forecast week: 24 – 30 November 2025
Second forecast week: 1 – 7 December 2025

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Figure 1: Rainfall Outlook

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Figure 2: Temperature Outlook

Drier conditions are predicted over much of Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 1 (24 – 30 November). Drier conditions are also predicted over the southern Maritime Continent in Week 2 (1 – 7 December).

Wetter conditions are predicted over parts of the western Maritime Continent in Week 1 (24 – 30 November).

Cooler than usual temperatures are predicted over much of Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 1 (24 – 30 November).

A Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present in the Western Pacific (Phase 6) during the middle of November, based on the RMM index. Most models predict an MJO signal to propagate from Phase 6 to Phase 7 during the forecast period (24 November – 7 December).

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.