Subseasonal Weather Outlook (3 – 16 March 2025)
Issued: 26 February 2025
First forecast week: 3 March – 9 March 2025
Second forecast week: 10 March – 16 March 2025
Wetter conditions are predicted over much of the Maritime Continent (except for the southern and southeastern parts) and southeastern Mainland Southeast Asia in the next fortnight (3 – 16 March).
No significant regional temperature anomalies are predicted in the next fortnight (3 – 16 March).
A weak Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present over the Western Hemisphere and Africa (Phases 8 and 1) towards the end of February, based on the RMM Index. Most models do not indicate coherent MJO activity during the forecast period. However, some models predict an MJO signal to briefly propagate over the Indian Ocean (Phases 2 and 3) before decaying in Week 1 (3 – 9 March).
The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.