Category Archives: Regional Weather Outlook for Year 2023

Drier conditions are expected over much of the northern ASEAN region in Week 1 (20 – 26 March), in particular over central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia and northern Philippines. These drier conditions are predicted to persist over these regions and extend further southwards to the Malay Peninsula in Week 2 (27 March – 2 April).

Warmer than usual temperature is expected over central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia and northern Philippines in the next fortnight (20 March – 2 April), in line with the predicted drier conditions.

A Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present over the Western Hemisphere and Africa (Phases 8 and 1) in the middle of March. Models predict this signal to weaken and continue propagating eastwards to the Indian Ocean (Phase 2), and decay by the end of Week 1.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.

Drier conditions are expected over the southern Maritime Continent in the next fortnight (6 – 19 March). Drier conditions are also expected over southern Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 1 (6 – 12 March).

Wetter conditions are expected over much of the western Maritime Continent in Week 1 (6 – 12 March) and much of the northeastern Maritime Continent in Week 2 (13 – 19 March).

Cooler than usual temperature are predicted over much of the ASEAN region in the next fortnight (6 – 19 March), in particular over southern Mainland Southeast Asia, the western and central Maritime Continent and parts of the Philippines.

No clear Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present at the end of February. Models predict an MJO signal to emerge over the Western Pacific (Phases 6 and 7) by Week 1 and propagate eastwards over the Western Hemisphere and Africa (Phases 8 and 1) during the forecast period.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.

Wetter conditions are expected over the western Maritime Continent in the next fortnight (20 February – 5 March). Wetter conditions are also expected over the northeast Maritime Continent in Week 1 (20 – 26 February).

Cooler than usual temperature is expected over most of central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia and also over parts of the western Maritime Continent in the next fortnight (20 February – 5 March).

A Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present over the Western Pacific (Phases 6 and 7) in the middle of February. Models predict this MJO signal to continue propagating eastwards and then decay in Week 1 over the Western Hemisphere (Phases 8 and 1).

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.

Drier conditions are expected over parts of the western and central Maritime Continent in Week 1 (6 – 12 February). These drier conditions are predicted to persist over the central Maritime Continent in Week 2 (13 – 19 February) and likely easing over the western Maritime Continent.

Wetter conditions are predicted over the northeastern Maritime Continent and southeastern coast of Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 2 (13 – 19 February).

Warmer than usual temperature is expected over much of the eastern half of Mainland Southeast Asia and much of the Philippines in Week 1 (6 – 12 February). Warmer than usual temperature is also expected over parts of the western and central Maritime Continent in Week 1, in line with the predicted drier conditions.

A Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present over the Indian Ocean (Phase 3) at the start of February. Models predict the MJO signal to propagate eastwards and reach the Maritime Continent (Phases 4 and 5) during the first week of the forecast period. Some models then predict this signal to continue propagating through the Maritime Continent to the Western Pacific (Phases 6 and 7), while others predict the signal to decay over the Maritime Continent.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.

Wetter conditions are predicted over much of the Maritime Continent and coastal parts of eastern Mainland Southeast Asia in the next fortnight (23 January – 5 February). The highest likelihood of wetter conditions is over the region between 0° and 10°N, including the Malay Peninsula, northern Borneo, and the southern Philippines, in Week 1 (23 – 29 January).

Cooler than usual temperature is predicted over much of the southern half of the ASEAN region in Week 1 (23 – 29 January), generally in line with the predicted wetter conditions.

No clear Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present during the third week of January. Some models predict an MJO signal to develop and propagate eastward over the Indian Ocean (Phases 2 and 3) during the forecast period.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.