Subseasonal Weather Outlook (10 – 23 June 2024)

Issued: 6 June 2024
First forecast week: 10 – 16 June 2024
Second forecast week: 17 – 23 June 2024

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Figure 1: Rainfall Outlook

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Figure 2: Temperature Outlook

Wetter conditions are predicted over western Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 1 (10 – 16 June). Drier conditions are predicted over parts of the western Maritime Continent and southern Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 1 (10 – 16 June).

Warmer than usual temperature is predicted over most of the Maritime Continent in the next fortnight (10 – 23 June). Warmer than usual temperature is also predicted over the southern half of Mainland Southeast Asia in Week 2 (17 – 23 June).

No Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) signal was present at the start of June based on the RMM index. Most models predict no significant MJO activity during the forecast period.

The outlook is assessed for the region in general, where conditions are relative to the average conditions for the corresponding time of year. For specific updates on the national scale, the relevant ASEAN National Meteorological and Hydrological Services should be consulted.